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5 Things To Ponder: Odds And Ends
Earlier this week I discussed the oxymoron of the "bearish bull market" suggesting that the deterioration in the technical backdrop of the market acting in a manner only seen at previous major market...
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A Technical Review Of Stocks And Bonds
Apparently, judging by the number of emails, the recent volatility in the stock and bond markets has finally awoken many complacent investors. To wit: "Stocks and bonds are both declining in value at...
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The Earnings Season "Scandal"
Just like the hit series "Scandal" in which a political "fixer" delves into the manipulation, deceit and obfuscation that prevails in the dark corners of Washington, D.C., so to has Wall Street's...
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Fed At Risk Of Missing Window To Hike Rates
For much of the last year, the Federal Reserve has been repeatedly discussing the potential increase in the overnight lending rate. That rate, more commonly known as the "Fed Funds" rate, has been held...
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3 Things: Oversold Bounce, Relative Risk, More Downside Potential
["3 Things" is a weekly publication of ideas, usually contrarian, to provoke thoughtful discussions and decision-making processes. As a portfolio strategist, I am sharing things that I am considering...
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5 Things To Ponder: The "Howard Mark's" Problem
Howard Marks once stated that being a "contrarian" is tough, lonely and generally right. To wit: "Resisting – and thereby achieving success as a contrarian – isn't easy. Things combine to make it...
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Warren Buffett And Weather Forecasts
Barry Ritholtz had an interesting quote from Warren Buffett this morning: "Many investors get this one wrong. Even though they are going to be net buyers of stocks for many years to come, they are...
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Bullish Or Bearish? What Do The Charts Say?
During my morning reading, I ran across an interesting article from Jeff Reeves via MarketWatch giving nine (9) reasons why the stock market will "do nothing but go up this summer." He states that...
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About That Surge In Building Permits
Yesterday, the media spin went into full overdrive as the most recent housing data was released on starts and permits. The following is Econoday's summary: "Don't let the headline fool you, the housing...
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3 Things: Retail Sales, Fed Misses Again, Profits
["3 Things" is a weekly publication of ideas, usually contrarian, to provoke thoughtful discussions and decision-making processes. As a portfolio strategist, I am sharing things that I am considering...
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5 Things To Ponder: Shades Or Umbrella
Since the beginning of this year the markets have primarily treaded water. The primary support for the bulls has been continued acknowledgement by the Fed on an inability to remove accommodative policy...
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"Debt Gone Wild" - Debt Funded Stock Buybacks Soar
I penned an article recently discussing the many measures that corporations have used in recent years to "beat" Wall Street estimates. Of course, the beating of Wall Street estimates, so adamantly...
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Could This Be It?
Eighteen months and 283.97 points ago, I wrote an article entitled "The Coming Market Meltup & 2016 Recession" in which I discussed several reasons for the market to enter into blowoff stage of the...
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Predicting The Future Is Difficult
Neils Bohr, a Nobel prize-winning Danish physicist who made foundational contributions to the understanding of atomic structure and quantum theory, is credited to have once said: "Prediction is very...
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3 Things: Trend, Ceiling & Rates
["3 Things" is a weekly publication of ideas, usually contrarian, to provoke thoughtful discussions and decision-making processes. As a portfolio strategist, I am sharing things that I am considering...
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5 Things To Ponder: While We Wait On Greece
Another week has come and gone, and there is still no resolution on Greece. Germany's Angela Merkel has firmly stated to the EU party members on Thursday that a deal on Greece must be on the table...
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Technically Speaking - Bears Are Winning
Over the last several months, I have been discussing the "consolidation" of the markets and the various support and resistance levels that have contained generally contained the markets since the...
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Chart Of The Day: Is China Sending A Warning?
In yesterday's discussion on the technical underpinnings of the market, I pondered the question of whether Greece was really the primary issue of concern for investors. "Whether, or not, a Greek exit...
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Some Perspective On The "Greek Carnage"
Rahm Emanuel once made a famous statement by stating that politicians "should never let a serious crisis go to waste." Of course, what he meant was using a crisis to leverage support for political...
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Fox 26: The Greek Crisis & The China Threat
I spent a few minutes with my friends at Fox 26 Houston yesterday discussing the issues surrounding the Greek financial/debt crisis and also the one thing that no one is looking at - China. As I wrote...
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